Persistent archive

Data Briefings

Curated economic briefings across Latin America, updated daily.

External Sector Paraguay

Paraguay's 6.6% GDP Growth Masks External Vulnerabilities with -3.2% Current Account

Robust expansion driven by domestic demand confronts widening external deficits and thin reserve coverage, creating investor risks despite solid fiscal foundations.

Aug 6, 2026 4 min read
External Sector Bolivia

Bolivia's Reserves Crisis at 0.5 Months Threatens Currency Stability Amid Contraction

Bolivia faces acute external vulnerability with reserves covering just half a month of imports while the economy contracts and inflation surges to 19.5%.

Aug 6, 2026 4 min read
External Sector Uruguay

Uruguay's 8.7 Reserve Months and Fiscal Consolidation Shape Stability Narrative

Uruguay maintains exceptional external buffers and modest debt amid tepid growth, positioning the economy as a defensive play in volatile regional markets.

Aug 5, 2026 4 min read
External Sector Peru

Peru's 10.4-Month Reserve Buffer Anchors Stability Amid Modest 3.4% Growth

Peru combines strong external defenses with moderate expansion, though elevated poverty and structural challenges constrain broader development.

Aug 5, 2026 4 min read
Monetary Policy Colombia

Colombia's 11.25% Policy Rate Anchors Stability Amid Persistent External Deficit

Colombia maintains restrictive monetary policy to contain 5.1% inflation while managing a -2.4% current account deficit and structural fiscal challenges.

Aug 4, 2026 4 min read
Monetary Policy Chile

Chile's 4.5% policy rate and labor market slack signal prolonged easing cycle

Persistent unemployment at 9% alongside subdued inflation provides space for monetary accommodation despite copper export strength.

Aug 4, 2026 3 min read
Monetary Policy Mexico

Mexico's 6.5% policy rate underpins carry appeal amid 0.6% growth headwinds

Subdued GDP expansion and near-balanced external accounts create a challenging backdrop for policymakers navigating inflation targets while maintaining investor flows.

Aug 3, 2026 4 min read
Inflation Argentina

Argentina's 219.9% inflation overshadows growth amid external stabilization pressures

Hyperinflationary conditions persist despite positive growth, while external accounts show fragile improvement with limited reserve coverage.

Aug 3, 2026 3 min read
Inflation Venezuela

Venezuela's 254.9% Inflation Undermines Modest Recovery Despite Trade Surplus

Venezuela shows fragile stabilization with 1.6% growth and trade surplus, but hyperinflationary pressures and current account deficit expose persistent macroeconomic dysfunction.

Aug 2, 2026 4 min read
Monetary Policy Brazil

Brazil's 14.25% policy rate battles sticky inflation amid fiscal headwinds

Brazil maintains aggressive monetary tightening with real rates near 9% as fiscal concerns and currency weakness complicate the disinflation path despite moderate growth.

Aug 2, 2026 3 min read
External Sector Guatemala

Guatemala's $19.1bn remittances anchor resilience despite 15.4% trade deficit

Massive remittance inflows and robust reserves provide external stability while structural weaknesses in tax collection and poverty constrain long-term growth potential.

Aug 1, 2026 3 min read
Growth Panama

Panama's 4.4% GDP Growth Masks Fiscal Fragility and Jobs Challenge

Robust economic expansion conceals structural vulnerabilities in tax collection, reserve adequacy, and labor market absorption amid high youth unemployment.

Aug 1, 2026 4 min read
External Sector Ecuador

Ecuador's 5.9% Current Account Surplus Masks Dollarization Vulnerability

Ecuador's robust external position and growth face structural constraints from thin reserves and elevated security costs amid full dollarization.

Jul 31, 2026 4 min read